Monday, February 22, 2010
Where Does LT Belong
Many argue that the years are showing on LT and his tires are wearing. While that may be the case, I would not say that his decline in yardage was all his fault. Pro Bowl Center Nick Hardwick was gone most of the year and his absence hurt San Diego’s run blocking ability considerably. Also, Philip Rivers really came on this year and the Chargers switched gears to a passing team. LT also was hit with the injury bug early and most running backs are not nearly as effective as they can be when they are hurt. So, I would not say LT’s poor yardage was necessarily all his fault.
That being said, I do not necessarily think that you hand LT the keys to your franchise’s running game. I see parallels to LT’s situation to that of Jerome Bettis’ last years in Pittsburgh. For years Bettis was THE running back in Pittsburgh. As time wore on he became less effective as an every down back. However, as a third down back and particularly as a goaline/short yardage back….there was none better. Bettis provided a valuable situational role for Pittsburgh, while at the same time mentoring young Willie Parker. I remember watching a video of Bettis on the sideline telling Parker to stick to the middle and hit those lanes hard and fast. I see LT as a player who could fill that type of Bettis role. LT still had 12 touchdowns this year and most of them came in the goal line/red zone. LT could provide a considerable amount of guidance to any young running back while contributing as a Bettis type player. LT has a few years left and could make a big impact on the right team.
So the question becomes what team would LT make the largest impact on? One team I would like to see LT go to would be the Cleveland Browns. I am a big believer in history repeating itself and if Cleveland signs LT then they would be repeating it. Three years ago the Browns signed Jamal Lewis, a worn out elite who was believed to be done. Cleveland almost made the playoffs that year on Jamal Lewis’ back. LT could have a similar effect in Cleveland. Cleveland’s offensive line is the best part of that team. Cleveland appears to want a new QB and that new QB would benefit substantially having LT behind him. Also, LT is breaking records every game. That would get national attention and put people in the seats. LT could bring a lot of positive attention to a Cleveland team in desperate need of it.
Another team desperate for a solid running back…Detroit! With Kevin Smith’s week one status unknown, LT becomes a phenomenal option. If I was LT, I would not go to Detroit considering their oline and defense, but LT would bring a safety in the box and take one off of Calvin Johnson, who gets triple covered up and down the field. Detroit, although an unlikely spot, would benefit greatly from LT’s services.
LT says he wants to be a contender…well I have two darkhorse candidates that would be great landing spots for the future hall of famer. The first would be the Redskins. The Redskins had a great defense last year, but no offense. Clinton Portis is supposed to be coming back, but I am sure Shanahan would not mind bringing in LT and giving him Portis’ money…don’t forget that Shanahan dumped Portis once before. Shanahan has turned mediocre running backs into gods; imagine what he would be able to do with a running back of LT’s caliber. LT could provide veteran leadership to what is more than likely going to be a young offense. He would also take stress off of whoever Washington’s next QB will be. Washington’s offense could be renewed and could propel the Skins deep into the playoffs.
The other darkhorse contender….Pittsburgh! Although LTs price may be a bit high, if Tomlin really wants to commit to the power run, it would serve him well to bring on LT. Mendenhall has difficulty running in between the tackles. He always bounces out runs. It works, but it’s not power football and our line is not fast enough to support that type of running. However, LT could power run and mentor Mendenhall much in the way Bettis mentored Willie Parker. LT would fit in well with the Steelers, but his price would probably be higher than what the Rooneys are willing to pay.
There are plenty of other teams that could use LT’s services. I am just trying to point out places where he could have considerable impact that are not necessarily obvious. A reunion between Brees and Tomlinson is possible, but unlikely given Thomas’ Super Bowl performance (the guy did not know how to get tackled). Denver and the Patriots could definitely benefit from some red zone help. The Texans could use some veteran leadership, but seem opposed to adding any at running back. The point is, LT still has a lot in the tank and any team would be foolish to not entertain the idea of Tomlinson on their roster.
Wednesday, April 15, 2009
Third Draft of My 2009 Mock Draft
Previous Pick:
Walter Jones is 35 and coming off a serious injury. Mark Sanchez might be an option, but I think it is a poor decision to sit a rookie behind a bad oline, just ask the 49ers. So, the Seahawks take
Previous Pick: Brian Orakpo DE/OLB
Rumors are abound that the Browns will trade off their entire offense…I find them a little suspect. The PR the Browns got from drafting Quinn was great. Hometown boy makes good would be just what the Browns need, not Derek Anderson. Drafting Crabtree here would make a lot of sense especially if the Browns do trade Braylon Edwards. However, the Browns Achillies heel has been their defense and Curry is the best linebacker prospect in years, why not draft him and stop selling off a good offense.
Previous Pick: Eugene Monroe OT
Russell needs a target. Can you imagine an offense with Jamarcus Russell, Darren McFadden, and Michael Crabtree? If the Raiders could get a decent line they could have an unstoppable offense.
Jones Drew is now the feature back in
Previous Pick: Aaron Maybin DE/OLB Penn State
Kampman will be transitioning to OLB in the 3-4 and Poppinga will be operating opposite of him. Malcolm Jenkins would be a nice option for the Packers, but drafting Orakpo would be a major pass rushing upgrade.
Previous Pick: Andre Smith OT Alabama
The signing of Marvel Smith somewhat negates the need for an OT. I could still see the 49ers going OT given Smith’s injury history, but for the moment the Niners upgrade their pass-rush with the young Aaron Maybin.
Previous Pick: Brian Cushing OLB USC
Aaron Schoebal is on the mend, but it wouldn’t hurt to draft a DE. With the tackles in the AFC East, the Bills will need multiple pass rushers to hold back these offenses. A large reason for
Previous Pick: Everette Brown DE Florida State
The Broncos are implementing a 3-4 defense and
The Skins are looking to upgrade their oline. Derrick Dockery helps, but adding a premier OT would make the Redskins line that much better. A solid line will go a long way towards helping Jason Campbell elevate his play and bring the Skins back to the playoffs.
The Saints could draft corner Vontae Davis or S/CB Malcolm Jenkins here. However, defense is obviously not the Saints’ strong point. The weakpoint on the Saints high caliber offense is the rushing game. Pierre Thomas shows some promise, but I’m not sold yet. Deuce is gone and Bush is recovering from a serious injury. Wells would help make a stacked offense even better and provide the Saints some insurance for their abysmal rushing attack.
Drafting a Safety in the first round would help stop the run and slow down the air attack. Seeing that Jenkins is being projected to be a safety in the NFL, the Texans could get a steal with this pick. It’s rare to have a premier cover safety and Jenkins would upgrade the Texans secondary considerably. A lot of people have the Texans pursuing Brian Cushing, but with Cato June, Thompson, and Abidi the need for an OLB is not terribly pressing.
Previous Pick: Tyson Jackson DE LSU
The Chargers, as always, have phenomenal depth. This frees them up to draft whatever their heart desires. If Chris Wells were available I think he might be the pick because both LT and Sproiles are on very short term contracts. However, with Wells and Tyson Jackson gone the Chargers bring in Rey and bolster a solid linebacker corp.
The Jets front office is adamant about the QB competition they already have, so I doubt Sanchez gets picked here. With Coles’ departure the Jets could use a deep threat wideout. Bey ran a great 40 and at 6’3 he could be a great target for whatever QB eventually takes over under center. Many have Harvin here, but teams are cooling on him and the Jets loved Heyward-Bey.
Do I believe that the Broncos will draft Sanchez, not necessarily. Do I know where he is going to go…not in the slightest. Some team will trade up to get Sanchez and totally ruin my mock draft. So, to minimize the damage, I’ll send him to
Previous Pick: Mark Sanchez QB USC
The Bucs signed Leftwich which negates the need for Mark Sanchez. The Bucs can now address their defense. Ayers has soared up draft boards and will be a veritable steal at this pick. Ayers opposite of
The Lions picked
First, the Eagles have two first round picks so they should select the most dynamic player available. Second, Westbrook had a lot of durability issues. Third, Buckhalter is gone. Fourth, Tony Hunt has not panned out for the Eagles as of yet. Drafting
The Vikings have two solid starting corners, but Winfield is getting older. Drafting his eventual replacement and having Winfield tutor him is a good idea. Plus there is an added bonus that
The Patriots have great needs at linebacker. Vrabel was traded to
Previous Pick: Brandon Pettigrew TE
It would not surprise me to see the Falcons take Pettigrew with this pick. Given the Falcons rough schedule I would say defense should be a priority. With that said the Falcons have a gaping hole in the middle of their defense. The Falcons selected Ryan over Dorsey last year, now they pick Jerry to fill that still present need.
Previous Pick: DJ Moore CB Vanderbilt
A CB would be very valuable to the Dolphins, but none has solid value here. There will be a few solid corners later in the draft. Right now the Dolphins need to arm Pennington with more weapons. The Dolphins visited Nicks and liked what they saw. The receiver with the XXXL gloves should be the Dolphins pick, provided they don’t want to reach for a corner.
Previous Pick: Rey Maualuga ILB USC
Cushing is a dynamic player who can play inside, outside, and a little DE in the 3-4. That kind of versatility is very hard to come by which will make Cushing a steal here for the Ravens.
Here is a quote from Colts GM Polian: "I've always approached the draft as take the best player no matter what the position is. Don't worry about filling a need, you can do that later in the draft. Take the best player in the first two rounds, whoever he is." Despite the recent qualms about his character that player would be Harvin. Harvin’s playmaking ability could elevate the Colts offense to unbelievable heights. Harvin, Wayne, Gonzalez, and Clark would be a fierce set of targets for MVP Peyton Manning.
The Eagles signed Stacy Andrews and plan on moving pro bowl guard Shaun Andrews to tackle. So now the Eagles have a void on the interior of the line. Mack would be great for the Eagles if for no other reason than he was one of the few linemen that could hold back BJ Raji. The Eagles would do themselves a favor by drafting Mack. However, it should be noted that this pick will probably be part of some trade, so chances are Mack will not be an Eagle.
Previous Pick: Kenny Britt WR Rutgers
Pettigrew is a solid tight end. His run blocking is a particularly excellent part of his game and a running team like the Giants could use all the run blocking tighends possible. This pick might get traded as well, but if Pettigrew gets to the Giants I don’t see them passing up on him.
Previous Pick: Perria Jerry DT Ole Miss
With the departure of Haynesworth the Titans have a gaping hole in the middle of their defense. Hood is the best DT available and as such the pick for the Titans.
The Cardinals’ offense is not what lost them the Super Bowl. With the departure of Antonio Smith the Cardinals need to fill a void. The athletic Johnson could go a long way towards not only improving the Cardinals defense, but help the transition to a 3-4 defense. I would not be surprised if Johnson was gone by this point though. His athleticism is astonishing. How many DE’s do you know that are used as gunners on punt coverage?
The Steelers are paying Max Starks another $8 million…while I’m not the biggest fan of this, it was a smart move. Starks has been a starting tackle for two Super Bowl teams and despite a few mental errors in pass-blocking, he is a truly solid tackle who has destroyed some of the leagues premier defenders. I wished we had kept Simmons and let the Jets sign Kemo. However, I still see a need along the Oline. An OT would make sense as we fired Marvel Smith. If Beatty plays well enough the Steelers could move Colon to guard, Starks to the right side of the line, and have a pretty solid line for Ben to do that voodoo that he does so well.
Monday, March 16, 2009
Detroit’s Martin Mayhew: Bringing Detroit From Zero to Hero
Detroit’s Martin Mayhew: Bringing Detroit From Zero to Hero
The Lions off season has been quiet but phenomenally effective. Their first move was hiring Titans defensive coordinator Jim Schwartz as their new head coach. The Lions defense was atrocious and bringing in the coordinator of one of last year’s best defenses was a brilliant move. Then, bringing in Scott Linehan as offensive coordinator was an equally brilliant move. Linehan is eager to prove himself after his failures in
Free Agency has been relatively quiet for the Lions. Grady
Now Mayhew stands at the precipice of having one of the best offseasons a GM can have. He has in his possession the 1st overall pick, the 20th overall pick, and the 33rd overall pick. With these three picks, Mayhew has a lot of leeway to rebuild the Lions. He could draft a QB, like
Jay Cutler and Josh McDaniels are growing further and further apart and a trade seems likely. If Cutler is put on the block, the Lions should (pun intended) pounce on him. With 1/11th of the picks in the first 33, Mayhew has the most power in negotiations. Using the draft pick value chart I am suggesting the following trade. The highest a QB was taken in 2006’s NFL Draft (the one Cutler was taken in) was Vince Young third overall. The value for the third overall pick is 2200 points. Seeing as Culter has made it to a pro bowl, but not the playoffs, I would value him at 2300 points. The first overall pick is worth 3000 points which means
Cutler (2300), 12th overall (1200) 3500
1st Overall (3000), 33rd Overall (580) 3580
Friday, February 20, 2009
The Bush Anomaly
In 2006, most mock drafters had the Texans selecting Reggie Bush with the 1st overall pick. I myself made that pick. However, low and behold, the night before the draft the Texans signed Mario Williams. Thus every mock draft was either ruined or had to be altered considerably. The Texans had considerable pressure on them to draft Reggie Bush, but they refused and picked Mario Williams, who has worked out very well for the Texans ever since. As I study the Detroit Lions this off-season, I see a lot of similarities in their situations.
The Lions just came off of the worst year any NFL team has ever had. Most of the time when a team does as bad as the Lions did the offense gets the brunt of the blame. The Lions offense wasn’t spectacular and rightly does deserve some of the blame. Kitna went down early in the season and none of the other QB’s seemed to know what was going on. They even brought Daunte Culpepper on board midseason and started him with what had to have been a playbook smaller than Techmo Super Bowl’s. However, looking at the Lions’ roster I see a lot of promise on the offense. Culpepper had a
The Lions have a new GM and Coach. I could definitely see them taking Matt Stafford and starting a new era. However, the offense is not what lost
So, what do the Lions do? It’s anybody’s guess at this point. The Lions need to turn things around if they ever hope to be a winning team. Does that mean taking the top rated offensive player in the draft class? Or does that mean they need to revamp their atrocious defense? The same questions were asked about the Texans in 2006. Just as the Texans were under a great deal of pressure to take Reggie Bush, the Lions will see a lot of pressure to select Matt Stafford. However, I think with the steps the Lions have taken via their new coaching staff and Culpepper, they have taken themselves out of the Matthew Stafford race. If that is the case then I believe the Bush Anomaly will go into effect.
When the Texans resisted pressure and selected Mario Williams that provided the Saints with an opportunity they did not take into consideration. It was assumed since the 2005 regular season game in which the Saints beat the Texans that the 1st overall pick would be the dynamic Reggie Bush. With him now an option the Saints were left with little choice but to take the USC running back. It seemed the perfect steal for a Saints team in as much a need of repair as that Texans team. I think that if the Lions do not pick
Wednesday, January 28, 2009
2009 NFL Mock Draft: My First Draft
So I begin the mock draft season. This mock will probably be very different as more and more drafts are made. Free agency and the combine haven’t even happened yet. Draft stocks will rise and fall, teams will address needs via free agents. This off-season will be a great one and I await free agency with great excitement. I have confidence in my picks. A habit I cannot seem to shake is my stubbornness over QB picks as you will see when
A lot of people think that the Lions should hold off on drafting a franchise QB until next year when McCoy and Bradford come in. However, I disagree with that mentality. Holding off picking a franchise QB, when you went 0-16, screams that you are willing to settle for another losing season. Every year a team should want to win it all. The Lions had the worst year ever! They need a QB and they need him now. I think
Some people are reporting that the Rams scouts are lobbying for the Rams to take Michael Crabtree. It’s not a bad idea given that Torry Holt is getting older. However, if Andre Smith does well in the combine the Rams should jump on Smith. It is tough to have a solid tackle. The Rams missed out on Jake Long last year and they should definitely pick Smith up this year.
A LOT of people have the Chiefs taking Mark Sanchez. I have faith in Tyler Thigpen who emerged from the QB carousel he shared with Croyle and Huard and was a bright spot on the Chiefs. An off-season with Thigpen as the starter would go a long way towards his development.
The Seahawks had an abysmal passing game this year. There are arguments to defend the Seahawks though, Hasselbeck was hurt, wide receivers were hurt, the running game had a tough time. The simple fact is that Rookie TE Jon Carlson led the Seahawks in receiving. While having a TE lead in receiving is not necessarily a bad thing (cite Tony Gonzalez), its not ideal. A healthy Hasselbeck and Michael Crabtree would go a long way towards reviving the Seahawks offense which would bring life back to the entire team, only one year removed from a playoff run.
This pick was almost as tough as
The Bengals continue to need defensive players. Raji’s stock has seen a major rise in the Senior Bowl. The Bengals need an offensive lineman too, but the defense should be a priority. With Palmer back the offense should do better making defense the priority. Raji would go a long way to freeing up the ends and clogging running lanes.
I got burned last year having the Raiders make the smart pick. So, this year, I have them making a different pick. They should draft Jason Smith of Baylor, but they will probably go after the dynamic Orakpo. I am pouting a bit. Orakpo is a smart pick as he is a beast. Burgess is getting older and the Raiders had the 31st worst rush defense in the league. Orakpo would be great and fill the need that would have been filled by Gholston last year.
The Jaguars coached the Senior Bowl and Oher by extension. Oher has a phenomenal work ethic and is very talented. Oher would definitely help the Jaguars get through the o-line injuries that plagued them. Some people are down on Oher, but his love of the game and a good combine should raise his stock.
With Al Harris having a rough time and Woodson being moved to safety there is a huge hole open at cornerback. If Jenkins makes it this far the Packers should thank their lucky stars and pick him immediately.
The 49ers have had it rough at OLB. Manny Lawson, while one of the fastest linebackers in the league, has been injury prone. Brown could go a long way towards helping a good 49ers team become better. In response to those who have Sanchez going to the Niners here I will be writing a piece on that soon enough because the topic is too large for this venue.
The Bills have young talent all around that roster. A lot of people like them taking a defensive player, but I think that Pettigrew would bring coverage over the middle away from Evans and Hardy. A good TE could help the offense immensely.
The Broncos need defensive help. Maualuga is one of the best ILB’s in this draft. Maulauga will go a long way towards upgrading their linebacker corp. His power blitzing and coverage ability will be a great asset to any team that would draft him, especially
The Redskins had a lot of offensive line injuries. The line had a rough time and drafting Smith would help and be an upgrade over Jon Jansen who the Skins are looking to replace. As far as drafting a d-lineman goes, they do have Jason Taylor still!
Once again the Saints defense is a draft priority. They could easily draft Laurinaitis, especially if they don’t sign Vilma. However, Jason David is not the best corner and McKenzie is getting up there. Drafting the physical
Little known fact, the Texans were 4th in passing! I couldn’t believe it. With those numbers and Slaton running well the offense should not be a priority. However, the Texans allowed a lot of yards and points on the other side of the field. Drafting a Safety in the first round would help stop the run and slow down the air attack. A safety is a very smart choice for the Texans.
This pick assumes the following: That the Chargers will allow Darren Sproles to depart via free agency and that the Chargers are looking for LT’s eventual replacement. Knowshon Moreno would be a perfect compliment to LT and down the road his screen and receiving ability will prove invaluable to Philip Rivers who figures to be the future weapon of the franchise.
The Jets defense should upgrade their front seven and
A large part of Orton’s receiving yards went to tight ends and Matt Forte. Hester showed great development as a WR, but Lloyd, Davis, and Booker are not enough to compliment the speedster. Percy Harvin could provide a dynamic spark to an uncomplicated offense. The Bears could also choose to upgrade their pass defense, but I see the playmaker Harvin as an invaluable asset to
Mark Sanchez is a good QB. It broke my heart to watch him rip apart
First, the Eagles have two first round picks so they should select the most dynamic player available. Second, Westbrook had a lot of durability issues. Buckhalter is a good running back, but not a gamebreaker. Tony Hunt has not panned out for the Eagles as of yet. Drafting Wells will be a great solution to help Westbrook remain fresh through the season and provide the Eagles with a strong running game in Westbrook’s absence.
The Vikings made it into the playoffs and had one position hold their playoff run back. That position, QB. Tavaris Jackson threw an interception that gave the Eagles control in the game. He also had a 42% completion percentage. The playoffs can be rough on a QB, but minus a 4 touchdown performance against the Cardinals,
Cushing has had a rocky collegiate career. Injuries and accusations of steroid abuse could haunt him in the draft. However, Cushing is a dynamic athlete. He played multiple positions defensively that make him versatile. Many have him pegged as a 4-3 linebacker, but I think he could handle the Patriot’s 3-4 defense as he played a little DE in a hybrid 3-4. Cushing could easily fill any position on the Patriot’s linebacker squad and the Patriots would be lucky to have him on board.
The Falcons passed on Glenn Dorsey for Matt Ryan, a decision I initially disagreed with but I was soon forced to eat crow. So, now that the Falcons have their QB, they shore up their d-line with Jerry
The Dolphins have a few defensive needs. DJ Moore would have good value here. However, Maybin has fallen this far and I think Parcells will not resist having a sack machine like Maybin working opposite from Joey Porter. This would also free up Roth to take ILB in the event Crowder departs. All in all if Maybin falls this far (which I think he may given his little amount of experience) the Dolphins should definitely pick him up.
The Ravens were top five in many categories, but one of those was not passing. Arming Joe Flacco with a dynamic WR should be a priority. Jeremy Maclin could be just that and provide Flacco with someone besides Mason to throw to.
This is a reach and there is debate over whether he or
Philly could potentially lose both of its OT’s in the offseason this year. This makes OT a priority. If they feel like gambling they will select Wells first and then grab a OT. If they don’t want to gamble I suggest grabbing Britton and then grabbing the best available running back, which could be Pitt’s McCoy. Either way, Philly needs an OT and could definitely use a spell back for Westbrook.
This pick will depend on the Giants intentions towards Mathais Kiwanuka. If they keep him at DE they would likely target an OLB, but if they move him back to linebacker they will probably go DE. I have them taking Michael Johnson. Those who doubt Johnson’s athleticism should know he played gunner on punts. Kiwanuka could make a return to OLB and Johnson could provide the Giants with the DE depth they so crave.
Collins did a great job managing the game for the Titans. However, there is still a need for a dynamic receiver. Heyward-Bey and his huge frame would be great for Collins and eventually Vince Young.
This pick could be very different if Edge stays around. Many people say the Cardinals don’t need an HB with Hightower around, but I beg to differ. Hightower is good and a phenomenal redzone running back, but his yards per carry was 2.8. That does not scream franchise running back to me. The Cardinals get McCoy who could help continue the postseason trend of the Cardinals actually running the ball.
Most people have the Steelers taking an offensive lineman…thank God! I had the Steelers taking a HB in the first round last year, but I didn’t think the front office would ignore the oline as much as they did! Carl Nicks of