Wednesday, January 28, 2009

2009 NFL Mock Draft: My First Draft

So I begin the mock draft season. This mock will probably be very different as more and more drafts are made. Free agency and the combine haven’t even happened yet. Draft stocks will rise and fall, teams will address needs via free agents. This off-season will be a great one and I await free agency with great excitement. I have confidence in my picks. A habit I cannot seem to shake is my stubbornness over QB picks as you will see when Tampa Bay selects USC’s Mark Sanchez. Oh well, I stand by my picks in this, my first draft of my mock draft.



Detroit Lions: Matthew Stafford QB UGA

A lot of people think that the Lions should hold off on drafting a franchise QB until next year when McCoy and Bradford come in. However, I disagree with that mentality. Holding off picking a franchise QB, when you went 0-16, screams that you are willing to settle for another losing season. Every year a team should want to win it all. The Lions had the worst year ever! They need a QB and they need him now. I think Stafford is their best option. Stafford has had experience behind makeshift offensive lines and his arm is ridiculously accurate up to 25 yards. Stafford has the strongest arm I have seen in a while, but he has trouble hitting the deep ball. With time, he can learn and having Calvin Johnson to bomb it to doesn’t hurt either. It might not be a bad option, provided they have the money to do so, for the Lions to keep Culpepper around to show Stafford how to be a strong arm QB in the NFL. Stafford could be a great QB for the Lions and in all honesty…he can’t make the Lions any worse.

St. Louis Rams: Andre Smith OT Alabama

Some people are reporting that the Rams scouts are lobbying for the Rams to take Michael Crabtree. It’s not a bad idea given that Torry Holt is getting older. However, if Andre Smith does well in the combine the Rams should jump on Smith. It is tough to have a solid tackle. The Rams missed out on Jake Long last year and they should definitely pick Smith up this year.

Kansas City Chiefs: Eugene Monroe OT Virginia

A LOT of people have the Chiefs taking Mark Sanchez. I have faith in Tyler Thigpen who emerged from the QB carousel he shared with Croyle and Huard and was a bright spot on the Chiefs. An off-season with Thigpen as the starter would go a long way towards his development. Kansas City could go in any direction with this pick. Curry would make a lot of sense given this defense’s dire need for a playmaker. However, I have them selecting Oher. I think that if Andre Smith remains the best OT, the Chiefs would be happy to bring in Eugene Monroe who came from the same alma mater as Branden Albert, who was great playing out of position. Monroe at LT would move Albert to RG and the Chiefs’ line would be that much more solid. They would run better and Thigpen would have more time. Monroe is a smart pick.

Seattle Seahawks: Michael Crabtree WR Texas Tech

The Seahawks had an abysmal passing game this year. There are arguments to defend the Seahawks though, Hasselbeck was hurt, wide receivers were hurt, the running game had a tough time. The simple fact is that Rookie TE Jon Carlson led the Seahawks in receiving. While having a TE lead in receiving is not necessarily a bad thing (cite Tony Gonzalez), its not ideal. A healthy Hasselbeck and Michael Crabtree would go a long way towards reviving the Seahawks offense which would bring life back to the entire team, only one year removed from a playoff run.

Cleveland Browns: Aaron Curry OLB Wake Forest

This pick was almost as tough as Kansas City’s pick. Cleveland has needs all over the defense and Jamal Lewis had a rough year. Many people say that Curry is an ILB in a 3-4. However, I think he could play on the outside in a 3-4. My concern with this pick is that the Browns’ two ILB’s totaled 244 tackles. The Browns need an OLB and if Curry can do that then he should be the hand down pick, but if he is a mismatch for that role, then the Browns would be better served going after Orakpo or Maybin.

Cincinnati Bengals: BJ Raji DT Boston College

The Bengals continue to need defensive players. Raji’s stock has seen a major rise in the Senior Bowl. The Bengals need an offensive lineman too, but the defense should be a priority. With Palmer back the offense should do better making defense the priority. Raji would go a long way to freeing up the ends and clogging running lanes.

Oakland Raiders: Brian Orakpo DE Texas

I got burned last year having the Raiders make the smart pick. So, this year, I have them making a different pick. They should draft Jason Smith of Baylor, but they will probably go after the dynamic Orakpo. I am pouting a bit. Orakpo is a smart pick as he is a beast. Burgess is getting older and the Raiders had the 31st worst rush defense in the league. Orakpo would be great and fill the need that would have been filled by Gholston last year.

Jacksonville Jaguars: Michael Oher OT Mississippi

The Jaguars coached the Senior Bowl and Oher by extension. Oher has a phenomenal work ethic and is very talented. Oher would definitely help the Jaguars get through the o-line injuries that plagued them. Some people are down on Oher, but his love of the game and a good combine should raise his stock.

Green Bay Packers: Malcolm Jenkins CB Ohio State

With Al Harris having a rough time and Woodson being moved to safety there is a huge hole open at cornerback. If Jenkins makes it this far the Packers should thank their lucky stars and pick him immediately.

San Francisco 49ers: Everette Brown DE/OLB Florida State

The 49ers have had it rough at OLB. Manny Lawson, while one of the fastest linebackers in the league, has been injury prone. Brown could go a long way towards helping a good 49ers team become better. In response to those who have Sanchez going to the Niners here I will be writing a piece on that soon enough because the topic is too large for this venue.

Buffalo Bills: Brandon Pettigrew TE Oklahoma St.

The Bills have young talent all around that roster. A lot of people like them taking a defensive player, but I think that Pettigrew would bring coverage over the middle away from Evans and Hardy. A good TE could help the offense immensely.

Denver Broncos: Ray Maualuga ILB USC

The Broncos need defensive help. Maualuga is one of the best ILB’s in this draft. Maulauga will go a long way towards upgrading their linebacker corp. His power blitzing and coverage ability will be a great asset to any team that would draft him, especially Denver.

Washington Redskins: Jason Smith OT Baylor

The Redskins had a lot of offensive line injuries. The line had a rough time and drafting Smith would help and be an upgrade over Jon Jansen who the Skins are looking to replace. As far as drafting a d-lineman goes, they do have Jason Taylor still!

New Orleans Saints: Vontae Davis CB Illinois

Once again the Saints defense is a draft priority. They could easily draft Laurinaitis, especially if they don’t sign Vilma. However, Jason David is not the best corner and McKenzie is getting up there. Drafting the physical Davis would help against the pass as well as the run.

Houston Texans: William Moore S Missouri

Little known fact, the Texans were 4th in passing! I couldn’t believe it. With those numbers and Slaton running well the offense should not be a priority. However, the Texans allowed a lot of yards and points on the other side of the field. Drafting a Safety in the first round would help stop the run and slow down the air attack. A safety is a very smart choice for the Texans.

San Diego Chargers: Knowshon Moreno HB Georgia

This pick assumes the following: That the Chargers will allow Darren Sproles to depart via free agency and that the Chargers are looking for LT’s eventual replacement. Knowshon Moreno would be a perfect compliment to LT and down the road his screen and receiving ability will prove invaluable to Philip Rivers who figures to be the future weapon of the franchise.

New York Jets: Tyson Jackson DE LSU

The Jets defense should upgrade their front seven and Jackson appears to be the best 3-4 DE in this draft. CB could also be a priority with this pick given that the Jets hired Ty Law to start mid season. However, I think a DE with the athleticism of Jackson is rare to come across and the Jets should capitalize quickly.

Chicago Bears: Percy Harvin WR Florida

A large part of Orton’s receiving yards went to tight ends and Matt Forte. Hester showed great development as a WR, but Lloyd, Davis, and Booker are not enough to compliment the speedster. Percy Harvin could provide a dynamic spark to an uncomplicated offense. The Bears could also choose to upgrade their pass defense, but I see the playmaker Harvin as an invaluable asset to Chicago.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Mark Sanchez QB USC

Mark Sanchez is a good QB. It broke my heart to watch him rip apart Penn State’s secondary. He shows great ability and has many physical gifts. That being said, I feel that he justifiably drops to Tampa Bay here. Thigpen is good for Kansas City. Orton is good for the Bears. I’ll explain the Niners QB situation soon enough. If Favre does retire the Jets might conceivably go after a franchise QB. Garcia will be 39 this season and the ownership has shown reluctance to bring him on board. If they do bring Garcia back, taking Sanchez should still be an option. I question Sanchez’s maturity and endurance. A year learning the system behind a veteran QB would be of great benefit to Sanchez and help Tampa Bay immensely. Sanchez just might be the perfect fit for Tampa Bay.

Detroit Lions: James Laurinaitis ILB Ohio State

Detroit is fortunate to have two first round picks in this draft. Detroit was dead last against the run. Laurinaitis was a born tackler whose instincts will serve Detroit very well. If a corner slips they’ll have great value here. Aaron Maybin is still on the board, but the Lions have a great deal of DE’s on roster. The Ohio State grad will help the Lions on their road to recovery.

Philadelphia Eagles: Chris Wells HB Ohio State

First, the Eagles have two first round picks so they should select the most dynamic player available. Second, Westbrook had a lot of durability issues. Buckhalter is a good running back, but not a gamebreaker. Tony Hunt has not panned out for the Eagles as of yet. Drafting Wells will be a great solution to help Westbrook remain fresh through the season and provide the Eagles with a strong running game in Westbrook’s absence.

Minnesota Vikings: Josh Freeman QB Kansas State

The Vikings made it into the playoffs and had one position hold their playoff run back. That position, QB. Tavaris Jackson threw an interception that gave the Eagles control in the game. He also had a 42% completion percentage. The playoffs can be rough on a QB, but minus a 4 touchdown performance against the Cardinals, Jackson had a mediocre regular season. I think that if the Vikings want to win and soon, they should draft Freeman. Freeman is becoming my favorite prospect. His rocket arm, mobility, and experience in a pro-style offense make him a rare commodity at QB. Childress can get a second chance at drafting a “Mcnabb” type quarterback. The Vikings a;sp have needs along the O-line if Birk leaves and in the secondary, but the most immediate need in my eyes is QB.

New England Patriots: Brian Cushing OLB USC

Cushing has had a rocky collegiate career. Injuries and accusations of steroid abuse could haunt him in the draft. However, Cushing is a dynamic athlete. He played multiple positions defensively that make him versatile. Many have him pegged as a 4-3 linebacker, but I think he could handle the Patriot’s 3-4 defense as he played a little DE in a hybrid 3-4. Cushing could easily fill any position on the Patriot’s linebacker squad and the Patriots would be lucky to have him on board.

Atlanta Falcons: Peria Jerry DT Mississippi

The Falcons passed on Glenn Dorsey for Matt Ryan, a decision I initially disagreed with but I was soon forced to eat crow. So, now that the Falcons have their QB, they shore up their d-line with Jerry

Miami Dolphins: Aaron Maybin DE/OLB Penn State

The Dolphins have a few defensive needs. DJ Moore would have good value here. However, Maybin has fallen this far and I think Parcells will not resist having a sack machine like Maybin working opposite from Joey Porter. This would also free up Roth to take ILB in the event Crowder departs. All in all if Maybin falls this far (which I think he may given his little amount of experience) the Dolphins should definitely pick him up.

Baltimore Ravens: Jeremy Maclin WR Missouri

The Ravens were top five in many categories, but one of those was not passing. Arming Joe Flacco with a dynamic WR should be a priority. Jeremy Maclin could be just that and provide Flacco with someone besides Mason to throw to.

Indianapolis Colts: Fili Moala DT USC

This is a reach and there is debate over whether he or Auburn’s Mark is the third best DT. However, DT is the Colts greatest need and with as good a team as the Colts have, they can afford to reach a little on this pick.

Philadelphia Eagles: Eben Britton OT Arizona

Philly could potentially lose both of its OT’s in the offseason this year. This makes OT a priority. If they feel like gambling they will select Wells first and then grab a OT. If they don’t want to gamble I suggest grabbing Britton and then grabbing the best available running back, which could be Pitt’s McCoy. Either way, Philly needs an OT and could definitely use a spell back for Westbrook.

New York Giants: Michael Johnson DE Georgia Tech

This pick will depend on the Giants intentions towards Mathais Kiwanuka. If they keep him at DE they would likely target an OLB, but if they move him back to linebacker they will probably go DE. I have them taking Michael Johnson. Those who doubt Johnson’s athleticism should know he played gunner on punts. Kiwanuka could make a return to OLB and Johnson could provide the Giants with the DE depth they so crave.

Tennessee Titans: Darrius Heyward-Bey WR Maryland

Collins did a great job managing the game for the Titans. However, there is still a need for a dynamic receiver. Heyward-Bey and his huge frame would be great for Collins and eventually Vince Young.

Arizona Cardinals: Lesean McCoy RB Pittsburgh

This pick could be very different if Edge stays around. Many people say the Cardinals don’t need an HB with Hightower around, but I beg to differ. Hightower is good and a phenomenal redzone running back, but his yards per carry was 2.8. That does not scream franchise running back to me. The Cardinals get McCoy who could help continue the postseason trend of the Cardinals actually running the ball.

Pittsburgh Steelers: George “Duke” Robinson G Oklahoma

Most people have the Steelers taking an offensive lineman…thank God! I had the Steelers taking a HB in the first round last year, but I didn’t think the front office would ignore the oline as much as they did! Carl Nicks of Nebraska was on the board forever! Well now they can make it up to the fans. Some people have the Steelers taking Alex Mack. That’s not a bad idea as he appears to be versatile enough to play multiple positions and was the most capable of handling BJ Raji in the senior bowl. However, Alabama’s Caldwell or Penn State’s Shipley could be available later and they would fill just as much of a need as Mack. If Robinson is available he should be the definite pick. Robinson is a fierce run blocker who has great initial burst and strength perfect for a pulling guard which the Steelers desperately need. Robinson, an upgrade over Kemo in my opinion, would fill a big need and go a long way towards protecting Ben. However, the front office should not placate us with this pick. Three offensive linemen have contracts coming up and I am not enthused about keeping any of them. Offensive lineman in the free agency would be nice in addition to drafting more than just Duke or Mack. The Steelers got to the Super Bowl in spite of our line, not because of them…most of the time it has to be the other way around.

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